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Commodities

Commodities

Oil stockpiles draw down at record 8.7M barrels a day: Goldman Sachs

Oil stockpiles are drawing down at a record 8.7 million barrels a day, Goldman Sachs said, as the Iran war keeps Strait of Hormuz flows at 5% of normal.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Iran war LNG shock: Woodside says markets underprice risk

Iran war LNG shock is still rippling through supply routes and prices, Woodside said, warning markets are underestimating how long the disruption will last.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Hong Kong gold clearing system targets July launch

Hong Kong gold clearing system is set for a July launch, giving the city a government-backed route to capture more Asian bullion settlement and storage flows.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

China palladium imports hit record as Guangzhou futures draw inflows

China imported a record 8.6 tons of palladium in April after Guangzhou futures rose above global benchmarks and drew metal into the country.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Power of Siberia 2 gains urgency as Iran war hits Asia gas

Power of Siberia 2 is back in focus as the Iran war squeezes Asian LNG routes, giving Putin urgency but leaving Xi with price leverage.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Oil drops as Trump delays Iran strike, easing Hormuz fears

Crude fell after Donald Trump said he had postponed a planned strike on Iran, easing immediate fears of a supply shock through the Strait of Hormuz.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Equinor's Hormuz warning shows where its priorities now sit

Equinor oil outlook 2026 now hinges on how long Hormuz stays shut, with gas risk, tighter cash discipline and a slower transition shaping strategy.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Trump ends Russian oil waiver as Hormuz risk tightens crude market

Washington let a one-month waiver on some Russian seaborne crude purchases lapse just as Strait of Hormuz disruptions made marginal barrels more valuable.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Capital Economics' $150 oil case turns Hormuz risk into a macro test

Capital Economics' extreme oil scenario is less a commodity call than a map of how Hormuz risk could spread into inflation, yields and the wider equity market.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Currie cools on gold but keeps broader commodity bull case

Jeff Currie sees near-term downside for gold from higher yields and a firmer dollar even as supply risk keeps his broader commodity bull case intact.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Goldman's gold call rests on central-bank buying, not the bounce

Central bank gold buying looks stronger than Goldman thought, with China's steady reserve accumulation helping argue bullion has a firmer floor into 2026.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

China and US use supply channels to contain Middle East oil shock

China's 3.6 million bpd import cut and a 3.5 million bpd U.S. export surge blunted the Gulf shock, easing pressure on oil, inflation and yields.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Russian oil waiver expiry adds fresh supply risk to crude

Warren and Shaheen want Treasury to let a Russian oil sanctions waiver expire, setting up a test of how far Washington will push enforcement when crude supply and inflation risk remain sensitive.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Iran war oil shock separates exporter winners from importer losers

The crude spike tied to the Iran conflict is becoming a fiscal sorting mechanism. Export routes, sanctions and import dependence are deciding who actually pockets the windfall.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

UAE casts OPEC exit as output strategy with Brent at $109.26

The UAE said its OPEC exit reflects production policy and capacity plans, a signal oil markets are reading through supply discipline and future market share.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Silver import curbs: India tightens rules after $12B bill

Silver imports: India curbed most shipments after a record $12B fiscal-year bill, widening its rupee-support push with trade controls on precious metals.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Strait of Hormuz oil disruption: Stockpile squeeze deepens

Strait of Hormuz oil disruption: UBS, JPMorgan and the IEA warn stockpiles could hit record lows if the closure persists, shifting risk from prices to scarcity.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Gold and silver slide as oil jumps on Hormuz fears

Gold and silver fell while crude pushed higher and Treasury yields rose, as traders treated the Hormuz shock as an inflation problem across commodities.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Oil Edges Higher as Trump-Xi Summit Holds Hormuz Key

Brent crude settled at $105.76 a barrel as the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing kept the Strait of Hormuz in focus, with the IEA warning supply losses from the Iran war have passed 1 billion barrels.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Gold Falls From Three-Week High as Fading Middle East Peace Hopes Lift Dollar

Spot gold slipped 0.8% to $4,698.22 an ounce on Monday, retreating from a three-week high, as deteriorating U.S.-Iran peace talks boosted the dollar and oil prices, undercutting the metal's safe-haven bid.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Gold was supposed to rally on war. It fell 12 percent instead.

Since Iran's military escalation began in March 2026, gold has fallen 12% — defying every historical crisis playbook. The mechanism that broke the trade isn't a mystery, but it rewrites the outlook for the world's oldest safe haven.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

US SPR loan: 53M barrels ease Iran oil shock

The Trump administration loans 53.3 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as Iran conflict pushes oil toward $115.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

PDBC Commodity ETF Surges 50% on Crude's Run to 98th Percentile

The Invesco PDBC commodity ETF has returned 50% over twelve months as crude oil climbed to the 98th percentile of its historical range. The rally, concentrated in energy futures, raises the question of whether the gains can hold.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Gold's 12% Iran sell-off is a rates story, not a haven failure

Gold has fallen 12 per cent since the Iran conflict began, defying the safe-haven script. ING's Ewa Manthey says the sell-off is a macro story — real yields and a strong dollar — not a structural failure. J.P. Morgan and the ECB see central bank demand keeping the bull case intact.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Copper to average $10,500 per tonne on LME in 2026 as mine disruptions fuel deficit

Reuters poll forecasts $10,500/tonne average in 2026, up 7.2% from July forecast, as mine disruptions create 150,000-tonne deficit

By Reza Najjar