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Analysis

Analysis

SpaceX’s IPO asks shareholders to trust Musk, not the rules

SpaceX IPO governance risk starts with Elon Musk’s 1.3 billion voting shares, a loyalist board and limited recourse for outside investors.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Starlink's American Airlines win adds to SpaceX's IPO case

American Airlines' Starlink deal adds a fresh enterprise proof point to SpaceX's IPO story, but it does not settle the valuation debate.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Starlink price hike during Iran war shows SpaceX leverage

Starlink price hike during the Iran war shows how dependent the Pentagon has become on SpaceX for drone connectivity and wartime bargaining power.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

AI IPO valuations face fresh risk after Trump's order retreat

AI IPO valuations face fresh risk after Trump killed a draft review order, forcing investors to rethink governance, pricing and policy discounts.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Gulf AI data-center bets face a war-risk repricing

Gulf AI data-center economics are being repriced as war risk, higher power costs and redundancy demands raise the hurdle rate for new campuses.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

DeepSeek turns an AI price war into an IPO margin test

DeepSeek price cut turns a temporary AI skirmish into a lasting margin test for OpenAI and Anthropic as investors size up 2026 IPOs.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

SpaceX’s S-1 is Musk’s Berkshire Hathaway pitch

SpaceX’s S-1 makes the clearest case yet that Elon Musk wants public investors to back a capital-allocation conglomerate, not just a rocket company.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Grok's Washington stumble punctures part of SpaceX's AI premium

SpaceX IPO bulls are leaning on AI optionality, but Grok's thin federal footprint suggests investors may be paying for a story Washington has not bought.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

SpaceX and OpenAI mega-IPOs flash a market-top warning

Mega-IPOs in 2026 are becoming a sentiment test as SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic challenge how much valuation and supply markets can absorb.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Nvidia's $18.6bn venture trail changes the AI trade

Nvidia venture investments reached $18.6 billion in one quarter, raising questions about AI demand, counterparty risk and the cash trail behind the boom.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Anthropic's NSA deal puts a state bid under scarce AI chips

Anthropic's NSA deal and a $9 billion U.S. chip push suggest scarce AI compute is becoming a state-backed demand floor for frontier labs.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Anthropic-SpaceX compute deal puts a $45bn price on AI

The Anthropic-SpaceX compute deal prices frontier AI capacity at roughly $45 billion, giving Claude more room while tying a top model maker to a rival's grid.

By Sloane Carrington
Deals

Cheap AI models threaten OpenAI, Anthropic trillion-dollar IPOs

Chinese AI labs charge $1.74 per million tokens versus $25 to $30 for Western models. Enterprise CFOs are routing 69% of workloads to cheap alternatives — just as OpenAI files for a $1 trillion IPO.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Nvidia concedes China AI chip market to $12B rival Huawei

Nvidia's Jensen Huang says the company has 'largely conceded' China's AI chip market to Huawei, marking a permanent reset of the AI silicon landscape.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

SpaceX S-1 Filing: Starlink Made $4.4B. AI Lost $6.4B. The IPO Targets $1.75T.

SpaceX lost $4.94B in 2025 as AI capex hit $12.7B, its S-1 filing revealed. Starlink's $4.4B operating profit funded a $6.4B AI division loss. The $1.75 trillion IPO opens what could be the largest listing year in history.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Stocks hit records while crypto stalls: what the divergence says about risk appetite in 2026

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched fresh records while bitcoin traded sideways near $81,500, a divergence that reflects a narrowing equity rally, matured ETF flows, and competing narratives for institutional capital.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

Fed rate cuts 2026: Reuters poll points to longer hold

Fed rate cuts 2026 look less likely as a Reuters poll, firmer inflation forecasts and higher Treasury yields push markets to price a longer hold.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Ryanair fuel warning sharpens stress test for Europe's weaker airlines

Ryanair's 80 per cent fuel hedge leaves it better insulated than many rivals, turning a jet-fuel spike into a margin and solvency test for weaker European carriers.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

AI backlash turns into a business risk for Big Tech

Polling, local resistance and investor notes suggest AI scepticism is no longer just a cultural complaint. It is starting to look like an execution risk.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Nvidia and retail earnings will test the AI rally's limits

This week's Nvidia and retail earnings will show whether AI spending can keep carrying stocks as inflation and renewed Fed fears start to hit consumers.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Trump's rate-cut wishlist runs into Iran inflation and his own tariffs

President Trump wants the lowest interest rates in the world but faces 3.3% inflation, a Strait of Hormuz crisis, and his own tariff regime. The Fed is expected to hold in June.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Robinhood bets prediction markets can fill crypto revenue gap

Robinhood is positioning its prediction markets subsidiary as the next growth engine after crypto transaction revenue fell 47 per cent year over year in the first quarter, betting its 27.4m funded customer base can outscale dedicated platforms Kalshi and Polymarket.

By Sloane Carrington