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Analysis

Markets

Mortgage hedging returns as 10-year yield tests 4.69%

Mortgage hedging is back in the Treasury market as higher yields extend MBS duration and risk amplifying the bond selloff.

By Sloane Carrington
Deals

SpaceX IPO filing sets $75bn test for 2026 deals

SpaceX IPO filing sets a $75bn fixed-price test as investors weigh Musk control, AI infrastructure costs and the 2026 listing window.

By Sloane Carrington
Stocks

Broadcom AI outlook tests chip rally’s perfection trade

Broadcom AI outlook disappointed investors because strong growth was no longer enough after a $280bn run-up in the chipmaker’s shares.

By Sloane Carrington
Markets

China AI trade drains Hong Kong stocks’ flow lifeline

Hong Kong stocks are losing mainland capital as China’s AI trade pulls investors onshore and policy narrows offshore routes.

By Sloane Carrington
Crypto

Bitcoin drops below $66K as IPOs drain crypto liquidity

Bitcoin dropped below $66,000 as ETF outflows, leverage unwinds and mega-IPO demand pulled liquidity away from crypto.

By Caleb Mwangi
Analysis

Anthropic IPO lead over OpenAI turns into timing trade

Anthropic IPO timing may decide how public investors price OpenAI, SpaceX and the $4tn AI listing wave before filings expose cash burn.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

OpenAI lawsuit puts AI IPO valuations on notice in 2026

OpenAI lawsuit risk now sits inside AI IPO pricing as Florida's case adds liability, governance and timing pressure to the listing race.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

RBI gold sales show how war pressure reaches reserves

RBI gold sales may show how India is trading bullion for liquid FX assets as war-driven oil shocks and capital outflows hit reserves.

By Helena Brandt
Banking

ING vibe coding pushes AI into trading systems at banks

ING vibe coding is moving from software demos into trading systems, compressing build times while raising audit and staffing questions.

By Naomi Voss
Markets

ASX shares near decade low as cost blowout resets value

ASX shares near a decade low after cost guidance and broker downgrades turned its technology rebuild into a valuation test.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

Grocery inflation 2026: El Niño, Iran hit food costs

Grocery inflation 2026 is shifting from energy shock to supermarket squeeze as food-at-home prices rise 2.9 per cent.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Weak rupee 2026: India's oil shock masks deeper strain

Weak rupee pressure is turning India's oil shock into a capital-flow test as RBI defence, import costs and reserves strain collide.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

SpaceX’s IPO asks shareholders to trust Musk, not the rules

SpaceX IPO governance risk starts with Elon Musk’s 1.3 billion voting shares, a loyalist board and limited recourse for outside investors.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Starlink's American Airlines win adds to SpaceX's IPO case

American Airlines' Starlink deal adds a fresh enterprise proof point to SpaceX's IPO story, but it does not settle the valuation debate.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Starlink price hike during Iran war shows SpaceX leverage

Starlink price hike during the Iran war shows how dependent the Pentagon has become on SpaceX for drone connectivity and wartime bargaining power.

By Sloane Carrington
Deals

A forgotten Hong Kong listing format is back

Hong Kong HDR listing plans by Merdeka Gold would revive a 12-year-dormant format and test Asia's IPO appetite beyond China.

By Naomi Voss
Markets

Yen carry trade risk rises as Stephen Jen sees rebound

Yen carry trade risk is rising as Stephen Jen, BofA and Japan's ¥11.73 trillion intervention point toward a stronger currency.

By Sloane Carrington
Crypto

DeFi TVL slides 14% as KelpDAO exploit chills risk

DeFi TVL slides 14% to $148 billion after the KelpDAO exploit, showing bridge risk is still pushing capital out of the sector.

By Caleb Mwangi
Deals

EU merger policy confusion chills Europe M&A revival

EU merger policy confusion is making advisers price Brussels risk more cautiously as officials debate scale, innovation and scrutiny.

By Naomi Voss
Analysis

AI IPO valuations face fresh risk after Trump's order retreat

AI IPO valuations face fresh risk after Trump killed a draft review order, forcing investors to rethink governance, pricing and policy discounts.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Gulf AI data-center bets face a war-risk repricing

Gulf AI data-center economics are being repriced as war risk, higher power costs and redundancy demands raise the hurdle rate for new campuses.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

DeepSeek turns an AI price war into an IPO margin test

DeepSeek price cut turns a temporary AI skirmish into a lasting margin test for OpenAI and Anthropic as investors size up 2026 IPOs.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

SpaceX’s S-1 is Musk’s Berkshire Hathaway pitch

SpaceX’s S-1 makes the clearest case yet that Elon Musk wants public investors to back a capital-allocation conglomerate, not just a rocket company.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Nvidia's $18.6bn venture trail changes the AI trade

Nvidia venture investments reached $18.6 billion in one quarter, raising questions about AI demand, counterparty risk and the cash trail behind the boom.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

SpaceX and OpenAI mega-IPOs flash a market-top warning

Mega-IPOs in 2026 are becoming a sentiment test as SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic challenge how much valuation and supply markets can absorb.

By Sloane Carrington