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Analysis

Economy

Weak rupee 2026: India's oil shock masks deeper strain

Weak rupee pressure is turning India's oil shock into a capital-flow test as RBI defence, import costs and reserves strain collide.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

Grocery inflation 2026: El Niño, Iran hit food costs

Grocery inflation 2026 is shifting from energy shock to supermarket squeeze as food-at-home prices rise 2.9 per cent.

By Helena Brandt
Analysis

Starlink price hike during Iran war shows SpaceX leverage

Starlink price hike during the Iran war shows how dependent the Pentagon has become on SpaceX for drone connectivity and wartime bargaining power.

By Sloane Carrington
Markets

Yen carry trade risk rises as Stephen Jen sees rebound

Yen carry trade risk is rising as Stephen Jen, BofA and Japan's ¥11.73 trillion intervention point toward a stronger currency.

By Sloane Carrington
Crypto

DeFi TVL slides 14% as KelpDAO exploit chills risk

DeFi TVL slides 14% to $148 billion after the KelpDAO exploit, showing bridge risk is still pushing capital out of the sector.

By Caleb Mwangi
Analysis

Starlink's American Airlines win adds to SpaceX's IPO case

American Airlines' Starlink deal adds a fresh enterprise proof point to SpaceX's IPO story, but it does not settle the valuation debate.

By Sloane Carrington
Deals

A forgotten Hong Kong listing format is back

Hong Kong HDR listing plans by Merdeka Gold would revive a 12-year-dormant format and test Asia's IPO appetite beyond China.

By Naomi Voss
Deals

EU merger policy confusion chills Europe M&A revival

EU merger policy confusion is making advisers price Brussels risk more cautiously as officials debate scale, innovation and scrutiny.

By Naomi Voss
Analysis

AI IPO valuations face fresh risk after Trump's order retreat

AI IPO valuations face fresh risk after Trump killed a draft review order, forcing investors to rethink governance, pricing and policy discounts.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Gulf AI data-center bets face a war-risk repricing

Gulf AI data-center economics are being repriced as war risk, higher power costs and redundancy demands raise the hurdle rate for new campuses.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

DeepSeek turns an AI price war into an IPO margin test

DeepSeek price cut turns a temporary AI skirmish into a lasting margin test for OpenAI and Anthropic as investors size up 2026 IPOs.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Grok's Washington stumble punctures part of SpaceX's AI premium

SpaceX IPO bulls are leaning on AI optionality, but Grok's thin federal footprint suggests investors may be paying for a story Washington has not bought.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Anthropic's NSA deal puts a state bid under scarce AI chips

Anthropic's NSA deal and a $9 billion U.S. chip push suggest scarce AI compute is becoming a state-backed demand floor for frontier labs.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Nvidia's $18.6bn venture trail changes the AI trade

Nvidia venture investments reached $18.6 billion in one quarter, raising questions about AI demand, counterparty risk and the cash trail behind the boom.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

SpaceX and OpenAI mega-IPOs flash a market-top warning

Mega-IPOs in 2026 are becoming a sentiment test as SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic challenge how much valuation and supply markets can absorb.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

SpaceX’s S-1 is Musk’s Berkshire Hathaway pitch

SpaceX’s S-1 makes the clearest case yet that Elon Musk wants public investors to back a capital-allocation conglomerate, not just a rocket company.

By Sloane Carrington
Deals

Cheap AI models threaten OpenAI, Anthropic trillion-dollar IPOs

Chinese AI labs charge $1.74 per million tokens versus $25 to $30 for Western models. Enterprise CFOs are routing 69% of workloads to cheap alternatives — just as OpenAI files for a $1 trillion IPO.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Nvidia concedes China AI chip market to $12B rival Huawei

Nvidia's Jensen Huang says the company has 'largely conceded' China's AI chip market to Huawei, marking a permanent reset of the AI silicon landscape.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

SpaceX S-1 Filing: Starlink Made $4.4B. AI Lost $6.4B. The IPO Targets $1.75T.

SpaceX lost $4.94B in 2025 as AI capex hit $12.7B, its S-1 filing revealed. Starlink's $4.4B operating profit funded a $6.4B AI division loss. The $1.75 trillion IPO opens what could be the largest listing year in history.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Anthropic-SpaceX compute deal puts a $45bn price on AI

The Anthropic-SpaceX compute deal prices frontier AI capacity at roughly $45 billion, giving Claude more room while tying a top model maker to a rival's grid.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

Stocks hit records while crypto stalls: what the divergence says about risk appetite in 2026

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched fresh records while bitcoin traded sideways near $81,500, a divergence that reflects a narrowing equity rally, matured ETF flows, and competing narratives for institutional capital.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

Fed rate cuts 2026: Reuters poll points to longer hold

Fed rate cuts 2026 look less likely as a Reuters poll, firmer inflation forecasts and higher Treasury yields push markets to price a longer hold.

By Sloane Carrington
Crypto

Bitcoin inflation hedge faces ETF-flow stress test

Bitcoin inflation hedge trades look shakier as ETF outflows, higher yields and gold's lower volatility expose the risks in digital-gold positioning.

By Caleb Mwangi
Analysis

Ryanair fuel warning sharpens stress test for Europe's weaker airlines

Ryanair's 80 per cent fuel hedge leaves it better insulated than many rivals, turning a jet-fuel spike into a margin and solvency test for weaker European carriers.

By Sloane Carrington
Analysis

AI backlash turns into a business risk for Big Tech

Polling, local resistance and investor notes suggest AI scepticism is no longer just a cultural complaint. It is starting to look like an execution risk.

By Sloane Carrington