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#Strait of Hormuz

Markets

Treasury yields fall as Iran deal cuts Fed hike odds

Treasury yields fell as the Iran deal cut oil-shock fears, lowered December Fed hike odds and pushed traders back into duration.

By Helena Brandt
Commodities

Oil surges 5.1pc to $93 as US strikes Iran for second night; stock futures slide

Oil surged 5.1 per cent to $93.15 a barrel and US stock futures fell after the American military launched a second consecutive night of strikes on Iran, putting further strain on a fragile ceasefire.

By Reza Najjar
Economy

The petrochemical bottleneck making electronics inflation sticky

The Jubail petrochemical shutdown knocked out ~70% of the world's high-purity PPE resin, sending PCB prices up 40% in a month. The Iran supply shock has reached electronics.

By Sloane Carrington
Commodities

OPEC quota hike looks symbolic as Hormuz traps oil

OPEC quota hike adds 188,000 bpd for July, but Hormuz disruption means much of the extra crude may not reach buyers.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Oil inventories thin out, raising Hormuz shock risk

Oil inventories are thin enough that another Hormuz setback could hit fuel prices, inflation and risk assets harder than futures imply.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Oil falls as Lebanon ceasefire trims crude war premium

Oil falls as Brent drops to $97.03 and WTI to $95.32, with traders trimming war premium but keeping Hormuz risk in view.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Hormuz LNG trade goes dark as Iran war rewrites routes

Hormuz LNG trade is moving through dark transits as war-risk premiums surge and US-guided passages redraw shipping rules.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Hormuz reopening doubts challenge oil relief trade

Hormuz reopening doubts are exposing a gap between oil’s relief trade, Kalshi odds and shipowners still waiting for clear transit rules.

By Reza Najjar
Economy

Real wages shrink in developed countries as inflation rises

Real wages shrink in developed countries as oil-driven inflation outpaces pay, squeezing households and leaving central banks less room to cut.

By Helena Brandt
Commodities

Oil prices mixed as U.S. strikes cloud Iran peace talks

Oil prices mixed after U.S. strikes hit Iranian targets, complicating bets on a Hormuz reopening that had been easing crude and shipping fears.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

India oil imports shift after Hormuz as Africa and LatAm gain

India oil imports are shifting after the Hormuz disruption as refiners pull more crude from Africa and Latin America to replace riskier Gulf barrels.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Renminbi oil trade 2026: Iran war reroutes Hormuz flows

Renminbi oil trade is getting a live stress test as the Iran war reroutes crude flows, lifts CIPS volumes and exposes the yuan's limits.

By Sloane Carrington
Commodities

Australia LNG Reservation Extended to Existing Export Contracts

Australia is extending its LNG domestic reservation requirement to cover existing export contracts, escalating government intervention in energy markets as the Iran war keeps global supply fears at the top of policy agendas.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Strait of Hormuz reopening may not cool oil or freight

Strait of Hormuz reopening may still leave oil, LNG and freight markets jammed as a 1,500-ship backlog, mine clearing and war-risk premiums linger.

By Reza Najjar
Economy

Singapore Warns Economic Outlook Dims Despite First Quarter Beat

Singapore's first quarter GDP grew 6 per cent year-on-year, beating consensus, but the trade ministry warned the outlook has weakened as the Strait of Hormuz disruption clouds global trade.

By Helena Brandt
Commodities

IEA warns oil market could enter 'red zone' without Hormuz reopening

The IEA's warning points to a midsummer risk: reserve releases can cushion the first Hormuz shock, but not an extended squeeze into peak demand.

By Reza Najjar
Economy

Asia energy shock is turning into a currency and growth test

Asia energy shock is pushing oil-importing economies into weaker currencies, higher inflation and tougher subsidy choices as growth slows.

By Helena Brandt
Commodities

Naphtha shortage hits Asia factories as Hormuz shock spreads

Naphtha shortage is hitting factories in Japan and South Korea, turning the Hormuz blockade from an oil shock into a broader inflation risk.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Iran deal could reopen Hormuz and ease oil pressure

Trump's claim that an Iran deal would reopen the Strait of Hormuz gives oil traders a clearer test of whether sanctions relief and tanker access can pull the war premium out of crude.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

LNG tanker exits Hormuz for India in first post-war cargo

An LNG tanker carrying a cargo for India cleared the Strait of Hormuz, the first such Gulf shipment since the Iran war began, offering an early test of whether energy traffic is resuming.

By Reza Najjar
Economy

Hormuz reopening nears as Iran offers uranium concession

Hormuz reopening moved closer after Iran signaled it could surrender enriched uranium for sanctions relief under a 60-day framework.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

US debt interest bill rises as Iran war lifts yields

US debt interest costs are rising as Iran-war-driven Treasury yields add about $8bn this fiscal year and push mortgage rates back toward 7%.

By Sloane Carrington
Commodities

US fuel prices may stay high after any Iran ceasefire

US fuel prices may stay high after any Iran ceasefire, with gasoline near $4.55 a gallon as inventories, refining and travel demand stay tight.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

U.S.-Iran ceasefire extension nears as Hormuz may reopen

U.S.-Iran ceasefire extension talks point to a 60-day deal and phased Hormuz reopening, giving oil and tanker markets a new de-escalation signal.

By Reza Najjar
Markets

Oil demand destruction is turning into a shipping trade

Oil demand destruction is capping crude upside, but longer rerouted voyages are still lifting tanker and dry bulk shipping earnings.

By Sloane Carrington