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#European Central Bank

Economy

Spanish inflation June 2026 holds at 3.6%, testing ECB

Spanish inflation June 2026 held at 3.6%, above forecasts and the ECB's target, keeping pressure on rate-cut expectations as energy eased.

By Helena Brandt
Markets

Wall Street cuts euro rally bets as the Fed trade returns

Euro forecast 2026 turns less bullish as Fed hike bets outlast the ECB, pulling Wall Street toward a $1.10 target and back into the dollar trade.

By Sloane Carrington
Regulation

Digital euro clears EU Parliament hurdle for 2029 rollout

Digital euro talks moved ahead after EU lawmakers backed the legal framework, keeping the ECB pointed at a 2029 launch and payments autonomy.

By Tomás Iglesias
Economy

BOJ raises rates to 1% as yen carry trades face test

BOJ raises rates to 1% for the first time since 1995, putting yen carry trades and Japan's bond-buying path under fresh pressure.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

BOE rate hikes gain support as Iran war strains unity

BOE rate hikes are back in view as inflation expectations rise and officials debate whether Iran-war price pressure needs another move.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Kevin Warsh Fed meeting: 4.2% inflation test for markets

Kevin Warsh’s first Fed meeting gives markets a test of his rate signals as 4.2 per cent inflation keeps hike bets alive.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

ECB rate hike 2026: first rise since 2023 on inflation

ECB rate hike 2026 lifted the deposit rate to 2.25 per cent as energy costs pushed inflation forecasts higher.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

ECB rate hike 2026: Iran oil shock redraws stocks

ECB rate hike 2026 expectations are forcing traders to price two moves, higher oil and a harder split across European stocks.

By Helena Brandt
Banking

Eurazeo’s €3.9bn fundraise redraws private credit’s risk map

Private credit Europe is still drawing capital, with Eurazeo’s €3.9bn raise contrasting with US scrutiny and redemption strain.

By Naomi Voss
Banking

SoFi stablecoin taps 14.7m members in banking test

SoFi's SoFiUSD rollout puts a bank-issued stablecoin in front of 14.7 million members, testing whether regulated retail banking can absorb crypto rails without reviving old compliance fears.

By Naomi Voss
Markets

The ECB thinks markets are too calm for the risks ahead

ECB repricing warning points to stretched asset prices, rising bond risk and an Iran-war shock that markets may still be treating as manageable.

By Sloane Carrington
Banking

US and UK bank deregulation opens a $1.3tn capital gap

US and UK bank deregulation has opened about $1.3tn of balance-sheet room, widening the gap with EU and Swiss lenders under tighter rules.

By Naomi Voss
Banking

Digital euro rift slows Europe's break from Visa, Mastercard

Digital euro politics are colliding with bank funding and fee economics, slowing Europe's push to cut reliance on Visa and Mastercard.

By Naomi Voss
Economy

Real wages shrink in developed countries as inflation rises

Real wages shrink in developed countries as oil-driven inflation outpaces pay, squeezing households and leaving central banks less room to cut.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

ECB inflation effects not yet spreading, Villeroy says

ECB inflation effects have not yet spread broadly, Villeroy said, but June forecasts and rate guidance may still turn hawkish.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

ECB inflation outlook to rise in June, Lagarde signals

Christine Lagarde said the ECB is likely to raise its inflation outlook in June, signalling that Europe's energy shock is still feeding through the wider economy.

By Helena Brandt
Banking

ECB summons banks to fix cyber flaws exposed by AI models

The ECB called euro-area lenders to a special meeting after newer AI models exposed cyber and IT weaknesses faster than standard remediation cycles.

By Naomi Voss
Crypto

StablR stablecoins depeg after exploit hits EURR and USDR

StablR’s EURR and USDR stablecoins slipped from par after a reported exploit, sharpening scrutiny of smaller euro-linked tokens as regulators debate tighter guardrails.

By Caleb Mwangi
Banking

JPMorgan $4bn private-equity loans: risk transfer flags repricing

JPMorgan private-equity loans are being reshuffled as the bank tests how much NAV-style exposure investors will absorb in a colder private-credit market.

By Naomi Voss
Regulation

ECB warns euro stablecoins could drain bank funding

The ECB told EU ministers that looser euro stablecoin rules could weaken bank funding and complicate monetary control, deepening Europe's split over digital money.

By Tomás Iglesias
Economy

ECB June hike risk rises as Iran war lifts inflation

ECB June hike risk rose after Pierre Wunsch said an unresolved Iran war could force tighter policy as energy-led inflation rewrites the euro-area outlook.

By Helena Brandt
Markets

G-7 inflation and bond yields: why policy bets are shifting

G-7 inflation and bond yields are colliding as higher long-term rates tighten financial conditions, squeeze fiscal room and delay easy policy pivots.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Negative real rates are back as bond markets test central banks

Negative real rates are back as inflation tops policy settings, leaving the Fed and its peers with less room to calm bond markets already pushing yields higher.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Iran-war oil shock pushes Europe toward a stagflation trade

Europe's looming forecast downgrade matters less as a headline revision than as evidence that oil is moving from energy into growth, inflation and ECB pricing.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Wolfe Research says oil surge raises central-bank error risk

Brent above $109 is forcing investors to treat oil as a macro-policy shock, with analysts warning the Fed, ECB and BoE could tighten into weaker growth.

By Sloane Carrington