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#kevin warsh

Economy

Consumer sentiment hits record low as Dow hits record high

The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index plunged to an all-time low of 44.8 in May 2026 even as the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a record 51,032, exposing a historic divergence between Wall Street optimism and household financial distress driven by war-fuelled inflation.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

Bond traders price a tougher Warsh Fed than the White House wants

Kevin Warsh's Fed is already shifting Treasury pricing toward 2026 hike bets, lifting yields as traders test how hawkish the new chair will be.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

PCE inflation nears 4% as energy shock tests the Fed

PCE inflation is headed toward 4 per cent as war-driven energy costs lift the Fed’s preferred gauge, hardening the case for higher-for-longer rates.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Kevin Warsh takes Fed chair as inflation clouds rate cuts

Kevin Warsh took over as Federal Reserve chair on Friday as sticky inflation and higher Treasury yields kept traders skeptical of quick rate cuts.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Trump returns from China to hotter inflation and higher yields

U.S. inflation is reasserting itself as Trump returns from Beijing, lifting Treasury yields, mortgage costs and pressure on Kevin Warsh's Fed.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Why bond traders think Warsh’s Fed could hike before it cuts

Warsh Fed rate hike bets are building as swaps, 2-year yields and sticky inflation push traders to doubt any near-term move toward cuts.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Fed rate cuts 2026: Nomura sees none as inflation stays sticky

Fed rate cuts in 2026 are looking less likely after Nomura dropped its easing call, citing sticky inflation, firm jobs data and a hawkish backdrop.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

Kevin Warsh sworn in as Fed chair amid Trump pressure

Kevin Warsh's Fed chair swearing-in formalises the central-bank handover as traders weigh inflation pressure and White House demands for lower rates.

By Helena Brandt
Regulation

Fed Opens Crypto Master Account to Public Comment After Trump Order

The Federal Reserve opened a 60-day comment period on a new payment account tier for crypto and fintech firms, acting within 48 hours of Trump's May 19 executive order. The proposal could give exchanges and stablecoin issuers direct access to the Fed's settlement rails for the first time.

By Tomás Iglesias
Economy

Jamie Dimon Warns Interest Rates Could Go 'Much Higher' After Bond Selloff

Jamie Dimon warned interest rates could climb much higher from current levels, hours after FOMC minutes showed a majority of Fed officials open to further rate hikes.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Fed Minutes: Rate Hikes Ahead If Inflation Persists

A majority of Fed officials are open to rate hikes if inflation persists, FOMC minutes show, handing Kevin Warsh a hawkish committee days before his swearing-in.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Negative real rates are back as bond markets test central banks

Negative real rates are back as inflation tops policy settings, leaving the Fed and its peers with less room to calm bond markets already pushing yields higher.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Fed rate cuts 2026: Reuters poll points to longer hold

Fed rate cuts 2026 look less likely as a Reuters poll, firmer inflation forecasts and higher Treasury yields push markets to price a longer hold.

By Sloane Carrington
Markets

Treasury yields squeeze markets as bond strain deepens

Treasury yields near 4.6 per cent are becoming the market's main stress point, raising pressure on stocks, mortgages and rate-sensitive credit.

By Sloane Carrington
Markets

Bond traders brace for higher long yields as Fed bets shift

A burst of bearish TLT options flow suggests investors are positioning for sticky inflation, a harsher Fed path and another repricing higher in long-term Treasury yields.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Senate confirms Warsh as Fed chair, sharpens rate repricing

Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation gives investors a real-time policy transition to price as sticky inflation and fading cut bets reshape the 2026 rates path.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Former Fed officials tell Warsh balance-sheet size is the wrong target

Former Fed officials say Kevin Warsh's real test is whether the Fed can keep reserves, repo markets and policy transmission stable while rates stay higher for longer.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

Warsh inherits a Fed that may need to hike, not cut

Ed Yardeni's July hike call matters less as a calendar bet than as a market signal: bond traders are testing whether a Warsh-led Fed must get tougher to regain control of the inflation story.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Warsh is right on Fed reform, but wrong on AI-led rate cuts

Warsh's case for Fed reform is stronger than his AI-led argument for cutting rates while inflation still sits above target.

By Sloane Carrington
Markets

S&P 500 keeps seven-week streak as inflation scare tests rally

The S&P 500 still posted a seventh weekly gain, but Friday's 1.24 per cent slide showed inflation, oil and Fed risk are starting to bite.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

Kevin Warsh walks into the Fed's biggest family fight in 34 years

Kevin Warsh takes over as Fed chair with inflation at 3.8%, the FOMC split 8-4 on rate policy, and markets pricing a 51% chance of a rate hike by December.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

Wells Fargo sticks with two Fed cuts after inflation shock

Wells Fargo still expects two 2026 Federal Reserve cuts even as futures traders price a hike. The split shows how differently banks and markets are reading the latest inflation scare.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

Powell exits with an inflation scar as Warsh inherits a repriced Fed

Powell preserved the Fed's independence but not its inflation record. Warsh now inherits a central bank facing repriced rate expectations and less room for error.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

Goldman resets Fed cut call to December as yields climb

Goldman Sachs Fed cut forecast shifted to December as 4.595 per cent Treasury yields and sticky inflation pushed markets toward a higher-for-longer view.

By Helena Brandt
Markets

Oil and yields snap Wall Street's AI-led rally

Rising crude and a jump in Treasury yields jolted US equities on Friday, exposing how quickly inflation fears can force a repricing of richly valued growth stocks.

By Sloane Carrington