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#kevin warsh

Regulation

GENIUS Act stablecoin rules miss deadline, 2027 clock looms

GENIUS Act stablecoin rules missed the 2026 deadline, leaving issuers and US regulators on a compressed path to the law's Jan. 18, 2027 backstop.

By Tomás Iglesias
Economy

Federal Reserve minutes show split over 2026 rate path

Federal Reserve minutes from June showed stronger inflation concern and no immediate support for cuts, keeping the 2026 rate path divided.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Fed task forces: Warsh taps outsiders for overhaul

Fed task forces took shape under Kevin Warsh as the chair named business and academic outsiders to review data, communications and the balance sheet.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

US inflation expectations rise to 3.7% in June survey

US inflation expectations rose to 3.7 per cent in June, the highest since September 2023, adding pressure to a Fed holding rates at 3.50%-3.75%.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

PCE may cool on paper before prices cool in the real economy

Core PCE inflation could be revised lower by methodology changes, giving markets a cooler Fed signal even if underlying prices stay sticky.

By Sloane Carrington
Markets

Why five-year Treasuries are the Warsh era sweet spot

Five-year Treasuries are drawing big bond managers as Kevin Warsh's hawkish Fed steadies inflation bets without fully punishing duration.

By Sloane Carrington
Markets

Treasuries slip back into oil-shock mode as Iran threats return

Treasury yields rose as Trump’s renewed Iran threats pushed Brent above $82 and forced traders to price a tougher inflation and Fed path.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

PCE inflation 2026: hot print keeps Fed hike bets alive

PCE inflation 2026 is expected to reaccelerate, backing Kevin Warsh's hawkish Fed stance and keeping rate-hike bets in play.

By Helena Brandt
Commodities

Goldman’s gold cut puts the Fed back in charge of bullion

Gold price outlook 2026 shifted lower after Goldman cut its year-end target to $4,900 as the Fed’s hawkish reset pushed yields and the dollar higher.

By Sloane Carrington
Markets

Treasury yields fall as Iran deal cuts Fed hike odds

Treasury yields fell as the Iran deal cut oil-shock fears, lowered December Fed hike odds and pushed traders back into duration.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Kevin Warsh Fed meeting: 4.2% inflation test for markets

Kevin Warsh’s first Fed meeting gives markets a test of his rate signals as 4.2 per cent inflation keeps hike bets alive.

By Helena Brandt
Regulation

Pirro Fed probe losses stay on books, DC judge rules

Pirro Fed probe losses will remain on the record after a federal judge refused to erase DOJ setbacks tied to Jerome Powell.

By Tomás Iglesias
Regulation

Pirro Fed probe losses stay on books, DC judge rules

Pirro Fed probe losses will remain on the record after a federal judge refused to erase DOJ setbacks tied to Jerome Powell.

By Tomás Iglesias
Economy

ECB rate hike 2026: first rise since 2023 on inflation

ECB rate hike 2026 lifted the deposit rate to 2.25 per cent as energy costs pushed inflation forecasts higher.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

US inflation hits 4.2% as energy costs surge in May

US inflation hit 4.2% in May, the fastest pace in three years, as higher energy costs complicated the Fed's rate path near term.

By Helena Brandt
Deals

OpenAI files for IPO at $852bn as AI giants rush to Wall Street

OpenAI confidentially submitted a draft S-1 to the SEC on 8 June, joining Anthropic and SpaceX in a $3.6 trillion AI listing wave that tests Wall Street's capacity.

By Naomi Voss
Commodities

Oil surges 5.1pc to $93 as US strikes Iran for second night; stock futures slide

Oil surged 5.1 per cent to $93.15 a barrel and US stock futures fell after the American military launched a second consecutive night of strikes on Iran, putting further strain on a fragile ceasefire.

By Reza Najjar
Economy

Fed rate hike odds hit 52% as Trump pressures Warsh

Fed rate hike odds jumped to 52% after strong jobs data as Trump pressured Kevin Warsh before his first FOMC meeting.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Logistics costs hit four-year high as Fed faces supply shock

Logistics costs are back at a four-year high, reviving supply-driven inflation risks that make the Fed’s rate call harder.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Fed rate hike odds rise after Logan inflation warning

Fed rate hike odds rose after Lorie Logan warned sticky inflation could force the central bank to tighten again in 2026.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Fed rate hike risk returns as Hammack warns on inflation

Fed rate hike risk is back after Beth Hammack said inflation may force tighter policy, complicating the June hold case.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Warsh Fed hires signal policy-shop shift for rates

Warsh Fed hires, including a Project 2025 author, show how the new chair may reshape policy work as inflation keeps rate cuts distant.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Fed independence in focus as Powell warns on credibility

Fed independence is back in focus after Jerome Powell warned political removals would damage credibility and market trust.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Citadel's warning shows the Fed debate turning toward hikes

Fed rate hikes are back in play after Citadel Securities warned inflation, not labor slack, is now the bigger risk for Warsh's central bank.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

Consumer sentiment hits record low as Dow hits record high

The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index plunged to an all-time low of 44.8 in May 2026 even as the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a record 51,032, exposing a historic divergence between Wall Street optimism and household financial distress driven by war-fuelled inflation.

By Sloane Carrington