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The safe-haven trade is no longer simple
Safe havens in 2026 are failing to cushion shocks as inflation, fiscal strain and carry trades overpower Treasuries, gold and the yen.
China factory PMI rises to 50.3 as export demand leads
China factory PMI rose to 50.3 in June as AI-linked export demand kept manufacturing expanding, while domestic demand stayed soft.
Oil prices fall as Hormuz tankers move and war premium fades
Oil prices fell toward pre-war levels as tanker traffic resumed through Hormuz and crude discounts widened, easing the latest supply fears.
Bitcoin options expiry meets ETF outflows and thin liquidity
Bitcoin options expiry pressure is colliding with nearly $3 billion of June ETF outflows, leaving thin quarter-end books exposed to sharper swings.
Bitcoin treasury firms lose $62bn as ETF bid fades
Bitcoin treasury firms are losing the ETF-backed bid that made listed balance-sheet wrappers look like permanent buyers as Strategy sells.
Gulf AI data-center bets face a war-risk repricing
Gulf AI data-center economics are being repriced as war risk, higher power costs and redundancy demands raise the hurdle rate for new campuses.
US fuel prices may stay high after any Iran ceasefire
US fuel prices may stay high after any Iran ceasefire, with gasoline near $4.55 a gallon as inventories, refining and travel demand stay tight.
U.S.-Iran ceasefire extension nears as Hormuz may reopen
U.S.-Iran ceasefire extension talks point to a 60-day deal and phased Hormuz reopening, giving oil and tanker markets a new de-escalation signal.
IMAX (IMAX) sale talks test appetite for premium cinema assets
IMAX sale talks put a $1.86bn premium cinema asset back in play, highlighting buyer appetite for branded exhibition businesses in a selective deal market.
Fewer SEC cases still leave asset managers exposed
SEC asset managers remain a core enforcement target as case counts fall, leaving advisers exposed on fees, valuations, conflicts and client assets.
Oil stockpiles draw down at record 8.7M barrels a day: Goldman Sachs
Oil stockpiles are drawing down at a record 8.7 million barrels a day, Goldman Sachs said, as the Iran war keeps Strait of Hormuz flows at 5% of normal.
Stocks hit records while crypto stalls: what the divergence says about risk appetite in 2026
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq notched fresh records while bitcoin traded sideways near $81,500, a divergence that reflects a narrowing equity rally, matured ETF flows, and competing narratives for institutional capital.
Target (TGT) earnings: 4% sales outlook tests rebound
Target earnings showed 5.6 per cent comparable-sales growth and a 4 per cent sales outlook, sharpening the market's read on shoppers and the turnaround.
Fed rate cuts 2026: Reuters poll points to longer hold
Fed rate cuts 2026 look less likely as a Reuters poll, firmer inflation forecasts and higher Treasury yields push markets to price a longer hold.
Nvidia earnings could puncture the AI options bubble
Options traders have crowded into Nvidia calls ahead of May 20 results. If the print is merely good, the AI trade's richest premium may deflate first.
Nvidia and retail earnings will test the AI rally's limits
This week's Nvidia and retail earnings will show whether AI spending can keep carrying stocks as inflation and renewed Fed fears start to hit consumers.
China and US use supply channels to contain Middle East oil shock
China's 3.6 million bpd import cut and a 3.5 million bpd U.S. export surge blunted the Gulf shock, easing pressure on oil, inflation and yields.
Wells Fargo sticks with two Fed cuts after inflation shock
Wells Fargo still expects two 2026 Federal Reserve cuts even as futures traders price a hike. The split shows how differently banks and markets are reading the latest inflation scare.
Iran war oil shock separates exporter winners from importer losers
The crude spike tied to the Iran conflict is becoming a fiscal sorting mechanism. Export routes, sanctions and import dependence are deciding who actually pockets the windfall.
El-Erian warns US has weeks to avoid recession as gasoline hits $4.39
Mohamed El-Erian says the gasoline surge is becoming a consumer-spending shock, leaving the US only a narrow window to avoid recession.
Cerebras debut resets valuations for the next AI IPO queue
Cerebras' 70 per cent opening surge is lifting the valuation bar for SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic and making the 2026 IPO window tougher for smaller issuers to crack.
Michael Burry's AI-bubble warning tests Wall Street's momentum trade
Michael Burry's latest bubble warning matters less as a celebrity-bear headline than as a check on whether the AI rally is still being driven by earnings, or by momentum outrunning them.
Interactive Brokers widens prediction markets as SEC delays ETF wrapper
Interactive Brokers has rolled Kalshi, CME Group and ForecastEx contracts into one interface just as the SEC delays 24 prediction-market ETFs. The split timing shows retail access is moving faster than Washington's agreement on how the asset class should be packaged and supervised.
Trump trade disclosures turn ethics into a market-trust test
A filing showing thousands of trades in an account held in Donald Trump's name sharpens the case that disclosure rules are lagging modern market-moving politics.
Suspicious prediction-market trades draw CFTC scrutiny as volumes swell
Suspicious trading on Kalshi and Polymarket is becoming a core market-structure problem as volumes rise and the CFTC signals tougher oversight.
