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Markets

Korean volatility is becoming Asia's clearest foreign-flow warning

Foreign investors sold $13.2 billion of Korean equities in a week, pushing Kospi volatility toward crisis-era territory and turning Seoul into a live test of how quickly Asia risk appetite can crack.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

Iran-war oil shock pushes Europe toward a stagflation trade

Europe's looming forecast downgrade matters less as a headline revision than as evidence that oil is moving from energy into growth, inflation and ECB pricing.

By Helena Brandt
Regulation

Adani settlement sharpens sanctions risk for cross-border borrowers

Adani Enterprises agreed a $275 million Treasury sanctions settlement, sharpening compliance questions for lenders, insurers and commodity counterparties.

By Tomás Iglesias
Markets

Nifty 50 drops 1.3% as oil surge hits rupee, Indian shares

Nifty 50 drops 1.3% as Brent tops $111, weakening the rupee and showing how a Middle East oil shock is hitting Indian equities.

By Avery Lin
Banking

Asia-Pacific banks raise Iran war provisions as $180B credit risk looms

Asia-Pacific banks have set aside $3.8 billion in combined war-related provisions as the Iran conflict's oil shock and trade disruption begin flowing into corporate and consumer credit risk. S&P warns a prolonged conflict could drive $180 billion in additional credit losses.

By Naomi Voss
Commodities

Russian oil waiver expiry adds fresh supply risk to crude

Warren and Shaheen want Treasury to let a Russian oil sanctions waiver expire, setting up a test of how far Washington will push enforcement when crude supply and inflation risk remain sensitive.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Iran war oil shock separates exporter winners from importer losers

The crude spike tied to the Iran conflict is becoming a fiscal sorting mechanism. Export routes, sanctions and import dependence are deciding who actually pockets the windfall.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Gold was supposed to rally on war. It fell 12 percent instead.

Since Iran's military escalation began in March 2026, gold has fallen 12% — defying every historical crisis playbook. The mechanism that broke the trade isn't a mystery, but it rewrites the outlook for the world's oldest safe haven.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

US SPR loan: 53M barrels ease Iran oil shock

The Trump administration loans 53.3 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as Iran conflict pushes oil toward $115.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Gold's 12% Iran sell-off is a rates story, not a haven failure

Gold has fallen 12 per cent since the Iran conflict began, defying the safe-haven script. ING's Ewa Manthey says the sell-off is a macro story — real yields and a strong dollar — not a structural failure. J.P. Morgan and the ECB see central bank demand keeping the bull case intact.

By Reza Najjar
Markets

Oil surges 8% to $109 after Trump rejects Iran peace offer

Brent crude surged 8 per cent to $109.74 a barrel after President Trump rejected Iran's peace proposal as unacceptable, extinguishing weeks of cautious optimism that diplomacy could reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Gold and silver stall below $4,800 and $80 as Iran MOU meets Fed pause

Spot gold closed Friday at $4,720.45 and silver at $80.38, weekly gains of 1.96 and 5.78 per cent driven by a White House memorandum to Iran. Both metals stalled at resistance after April payrolls printed 115,000, locking the Fed's pause in place.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Oil pushes higher, gold erases gains after US and Iran trade weekend threats

Oil prices pushed higher and gold surrendered its recent gains after Washington and Tehran traded threats over the weekend, the latest blow to a seven-week-old ceasefire that had briefly raised expectations the Strait of Hormuz would reopen.

By Reza Najjar
Markets

S&P 500 and Nasdaq slip from records as US-Iran Hormuz exchange resumes

Wall Street reversed off intraday all-time highs on Thursday after a fresh exchange of fire near the Strait of Hormuz lifted oil and pulled traders out of the rally that had carried both indices to new records at the open.

By Avery Lin
Commodities

Gold climbs to $4,734, eyes $4,750 breakout as Fed fears ease and central banks keep buying

Gold rose $23.60 to settle at $4,734.50 per troy ounce on COMEX on Friday, positioning the precious metal for a weekly advance as easing fears about aggressive Federal Reserve tightening drew buyers back into the market.

By Reza Najjar
Crypto

Bitcoin Holds Above $80,000 on SEC Regulatory Shift and Iran Hedging

Bitcoin held above $80,000 through Thursday's session as traders pointed to a regulatory pivot in Washington and demand for alternative stores of value. The Iran-US conflict entered another week without a ceasefire, while altcoins and blockchain equities moved higher in tandem.

By Caleb Mwangi
Commodities

Gold bucks safe-haven status with 14.5 per cent decline since Iran war began

Gold has fallen 14.5 per cent since the Iran conflict started, defying its traditional safe-haven status as the oil shock suppresses rate cut expectations and pushes real yields higher.

By Reza Najjar
Economy

Fed flags oil shock, geopolitical risks as top stability threats in semi-annual report

The Federal Reserve's semi-annual Financial Stability Report found geopolitical risks and the oil shock from the Iran war were the top concerns of survey respondents, with AI and private credit rising as prominent worries.

By Helena Brandt
Commodities

Gold heads for 2.1% weekly gain on US-Iran de-escalation hopes

Gold rose to $4,709.89 an ounce on Friday and was on track for a 2.1% weekly gain as growing optimism over a US-Iran resolution lifted the metal, though one analyst said it is trading more like a risk asset than a traditional safe haven.

By Reza Najjar
Analysis

Trump's rate-cut wishlist runs into Iran inflation and his own tariffs

President Trump wants the lowest interest rates in the world but faces 3.3% inflation, a Strait of Hormuz crisis, and his own tariff regime. The Fed is expected to hold in June.

By Sloane Carrington
Commodities

Brent crude back above $100 as US-Iran clash resumes in Strait of Hormuz

Brent crude settled near $100.06 a barrel on Thursday after fresh fighting between US and Iranian forces in the Strait of Hormuz unwound a one-day rally on ceasefire hopes, with WTI ending near $93.60 and traders rebuilding the war-risk premium they had pared 24 hours earlier.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Silver tops $80 as gold runs to $4,742 on US-Iran memorandum and softer payrolls bid

Spot silver pushed above $80 an ounce on Thursday and gold reached $4,742 in New York after fresh reporting of a US-Iran diplomatic memorandum sent crude lower and pulled the dollar back. The gold-silver ratio compressed from 62.5 to 61 in two sessions.

By Reza Najjar