Tag
#kalshi
North Carolina prediction markets get 6% tax as CFTC edge grows
North Carolina prediction markets got a 6 per cent tax rate in the new budget, widening their edge over sportsbooks taxed at 23 per cent.
Prediction markets are becoming real market infrastructure
Prediction market volume hit $44.8 billion in June as Kalshi and Polymarket turned World Cup flow into a test of liquidity, compliance and regulation.
Cboe (CBOE) binary options return tests Kalshi and Polymarket
Cboe binary options are back on the Mini-S&P 500, giving the listed exchange a direct answer to Kalshi and Polymarket's rise.
Lime IPO: Uber anchor role tests 2026 listings demand
Lime IPO plans would bring Uber in as an anchor investor, pointing to a $200 million raise and a fresh test of 2026 listings demand.
Polymarket fake winning bets raise disclosure risk
Polymarket fake winning bets shown in more than 1,100 creator videos are adding disclosure and credibility risks as regulators probe prediction markets.
S&P 500 binary options: Schwab and Cboe test retail demand
S&P 500 binary options could reach Schwab accounts through Cboe, widening prediction-style trading inside mainstream retail brokerage.
CME CFTC perpetual futures lawsuit tests swap rules
CME's CFTC perpetual futures lawsuit challenges whether bitcoin perps belong under futures rules or Dodd-Frank swaps oversight.
Polymarket Strategy dispute tests prediction-market trust
Polymarket Strategy dispute turns a 32 BTC sale into a test of whether prediction markets can win Wall Street trust as volumes grow.
Hormuz reopening doubts challenge oil relief trade
Hormuz reopening doubts are exposing a gap between oil’s relief trade, Kalshi odds and shipowners still waiting for clear transit rules.
SEC delays prediction-market ETFs as Atkins seeks input
The SEC delayed a wave of prediction-market ETFs after chair Paul Atkins said the agency would seek public input on whether event-contract funds belong in the ETF wrapper.
Trump backs CFTC in prediction-market fight with Minnesota
Trump backed the CFTC's claim to oversee prediction markets as Minnesota fights to treat the contracts more like gambling products.
Prediction markets reshaped the CFTC under Trump
Prediction markets are reshaping the CFTC, turning a fight over state bans into a broader test of who gets to define and police event contracts.
Kalshi, Polymarket lose bid to pause state gambling suits
Kalshi and Polymarket lost bids to pause Nevada and Washington gambling suits, allowing state regulators to keep pressing the cases while appeals continue.
House probe puts Kalshi, Polymarket under insider-trading scrutiny
A House insider-trading probe into Kalshi and Polymarket shifts Washington's prediction-market fight toward surveillance, user records and compliance controls.
Prediction markets ban: CFTC sues Minnesota over law
Prediction markets ban litigation is testing whether Minnesota can criminalize event contracts that the CFTC says belong under exclusive federal oversight.
Interactive Brokers widens prediction markets as SEC delays ETF wrapper
Interactive Brokers has rolled Kalshi, CME Group and ForecastEx contracts into one interface just as the SEC delays 24 prediction-market ETFs. The split timing shows retail access is moving faster than Washington's agreement on how the asset class should be packaged and supervised.
Suspicious prediction-market trades draw CFTC scrutiny as volumes swell
Suspicious trading on Kalshi and Polymarket is becoming a core market-structure problem as volumes rise and the CFTC signals tougher oversight.
Robinhood bets prediction markets can fill crypto revenue gap
Robinhood is positioning its prediction markets subsidiary as the next growth engine after crypto transaction revenue fell 47 per cent year over year in the first quarter, betting its 27.4m funded customer base can outscale dedicated platforms Kalshi and Polymarket.
