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#federal reserve
SpaceX's faster IPO tests demand for record-scale growth risk
SpaceX's accelerated June timetable turns its Nasdaq float into a test of whether public investors will still fund record-scale growth stories at private-market prices.
Markets price Fed hike by January after hot inflation
Traders shifted from betting on Fed cuts to pricing a 60 per cent chance of a 25-basis-point hike by January after hotter inflation forecasts and rising Treasury yields.
U.S. inflation forecast jumps to 6% as traders harden Fed bets
Economists now see U.S. inflation near 6 per cent in the second quarter, pushing Treasury yields higher and lifting bets on a tougher Fed path.
30-year Treasury yield tops 5.1% as inflation worries hit futures
The 30-year Treasury yield rose to just under 5.1 per cent on Friday, its highest in almost a year, sending Nasdaq and S&P 500 futures down more than 1 per cent as hot inflation data squeezed the Federal Reserve's room to ease.
Dollar Rises for Fourth Day as Inflation Data Lifts December Rate-Hike Odds to 35%
The dollar rose for a fourth consecutive session on Thursday, pushing the DXY index to 98.57, as back-to-back US inflation prints drove a sharp repricing of Federal Reserve rate expectations — lifting the odds of a December increase to 35 per cent.
Warsh confirmed: 12 Fed voters gather as Powell's final meeting looms
Kevin Warsh joins the FOMC this week after a 51-45 Senate confirmation, taking a seat at the table just three days before Jerome Powell's term as chair expires. With April inflation at 3.8% and Iran-driven energy costs still climbing, the 12 voting members are almost certain to hold rates steady.
Warsh Confirmation Meets 3.8% CPI as Rate-Hike Bets Eclipse Cuts
The April consumer price index rose 3.8 per cent year-over-year, beating every Wall Street estimate as Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation vote approaches. Markets now price a greater than 50 per cent chance of a rate increase by January 2027, upending the rate-cut mandate that defined his nomination.
April CPI seen at 3.7%, highest since 2023, on Iran oil spike
The April consumer price index is expected to show US inflation accelerating to 3.7% year-on-year, the fastest pace since September 2023, as the oil shock from military strikes on Iran feeds through to gasoline and grocery prices.
Gold Falls From Three-Week High as Fading Middle East Peace Hopes Lift Dollar
Spot gold slipped 0.8% to $4,698.22 an ounce on Monday, retreating from a three-week high, as deteriorating U.S.-Iran peace talks boosted the dollar and oil prices, undercutting the metal's safe-haven bid.
Senate advances Warsh Fed nomination as inflation pressures mount
The Senate voted 49-44 on Monday to advance Kevin Warsh's nomination as Federal Reserve chair, setting up a May 15 confirmation vote that would hand him a central bank grappling with 3.3% inflation and an impatient White House.
Gold was supposed to rally on war. It fell 12 percent instead.
Since Iran's military escalation began in March 2026, gold has fallen 12% — defying every historical crisis playbook. The mechanism that broke the trade isn't a mystery, but it rewrites the outlook for the world's oldest safe haven.
Schiff flags regime shift as oil, yields and gold climb
Oil, Treasury yields and gold are rising in tandem for the first time since 2022 — a correlation breakdown that Peter Schiff says signals a market regime change driven by persistent inflation. Traditional economists see cost-push pressure arriving faster than Schiff's model predicts.
Gold's 12% Iran sell-off is a rates story, not a haven failure
Gold has fallen 12 per cent since the Iran conflict began, defying the safe-haven script. ING's Ewa Manthey says the sell-off is a macro story — real yields and a strong dollar — not a structural failure. J.P. Morgan and the ECB see central bank demand keeping the bull case intact.
BofA rules out rate cuts before second half of 2027 on sticky inflation
Bank of America Global Research has scrapped its forecast for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, pushing the first reduction to the second half of 2027 as core inflation holds at 3.3 per cent and an Iran-driven energy shock keeps the central bank on the sidelines.
Gold and silver stall below $4,800 and $80 as Iran MOU meets Fed pause
Spot gold closed Friday at $4,720.45 and silver at $80.38, weekly gains of 1.96 and 5.78 per cent driven by a White House memorandum to Iran. Both metals stalled at resistance after April payrolls printed 115,000, locking the Fed's pause in place.
Gundlach urges 20% cash, 20% commodities as 2026 Fed cuts fade
DoubleLine Capital chief investment officer Jeffrey Gundlach told Bloomberg the Fed will not cut rates in 2026 and that investors should hold 20 per cent in cash and 20 per cent in commodities. He would buy gold below $3,500 an ounce.
Bitcoin slips from $80,000 after Fed report flags inflation, rate-hike risk
Bitcoin retreated from the $80,000 zone after the Federal Reserve's May 8 Financial Stability Report flagged the Iran-driven oil shock and a hotter March PCE print as conditions that could push the FOMC toward rate hikes rather than the cuts crypto desks had positioned for.
Gold pushes toward $4,800 as oil slide and lower yields fuel rally
Spot gold traded near $4,750 per ounce late Friday, within striking distance of the $4,800 mark, as a sharp selloff in crude oil eased inflation expectations and pulled US Treasury yields lower. The move tees up a test of the 50-day moving average at $4,780.
Fed is running out of reasons to cut rates
A stable labour market, sticky inflation above 3 per cent, and a rapid sell-side pivot away from rate-cut forecasts have eroded the Federal Reserve's case for easing. The debate on the FOMC has shifted from how fast to cut to whether the next move is a hike.
Powell holds rates 3.5-3.75%, ties inflation to Trump tariffs in farewell
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell held rates steady at 3.5 to 3.75 per cent on April 29 and pinned elevated inflation on Donald Trump's tariffs. He told reporters he will stay on as governor through January 2028.
Boston Fed's Collins warns Iran conflict will keep rates elevated into 2027
Boston Federal Reserve Bank President Susan Collins backed the FOMC's hawkish dissenters on Wednesday, warning that the Iran conflict is fuelling persistent inflation through energy-price shocks and that interest rates should stay on hold for an extended period.
Cleveland Fed's Hammack says rates likely on hold 'for quite some time'
Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said US interest rates are likely to stay on hold for an extended period, citing sticky inflation, the Iran war and what she called an inflationary mindset taking root among American businesses.
US mortgage rates rise to 6.43% as Iran conflict keeps bond yields elevated
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 6.43 per cent as of May 7, extending a climb that began in March, as the Iran conflict and persistent inflation kept upward pressure on the 10-year Treasury yields that drive home-loan pricing.
30-year Treasury yield tests 5 per cent as oil, growth and rate fears converge
The 30-year Treasury yield tested the 5 per cent threshold this week, climbing to its highest level since 2023 as oil, growth and rate fears converged.
US employers add 115,000 jobs in April, topping 65,000 consensus estimate
US employers added 115,000 jobs in April, well above the 65,000 consensus estimate, the Labor Department reported Friday. The unemployment rate held at 4.3 per cent even as the labor force participation rate slipped to its lowest since October 2021.
