Tag
#economy
Warsh Confirmation Meets 3.8% CPI as Rate-Hike Bets Eclipse Cuts
The April consumer price index rose 3.8 per cent year-over-year, beating every Wall Street estimate as Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation vote approaches. Markets now price a greater than 50 per cent chance of a rate increase by January 2027, upending the rate-cut mandate that defined his nomination.
April CPI seen at 3.7%, highest since 2023, on Iran oil spike
The April consumer price index is expected to show US inflation accelerating to 3.7% year-on-year, the fastest pace since September 2023, as the oil shock from military strikes on Iran feeds through to gasoline and grocery prices.
Fed is running out of reasons to cut rates
A stable labour market, sticky inflation above 3 per cent, and a rapid sell-side pivot away from rate-cut forecasts have eroded the Federal Reserve's case for easing. The debate on the FOMC has shifted from how fast to cut to whether the next move is a hike.
BofA rules out rate cuts before second half of 2027 on sticky inflation
Bank of America Global Research has scrapped its forecast for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, pushing the first reduction to the second half of 2027 as core inflation holds at 3.3 per cent and an Iran-driven energy shock keeps the central bank on the sidelines.
China April exports jump 14.1%, smash forecasts as factories front-run tariffs
China's exports surged 14.1 per cent in April from a year earlier, more than quintupling the 2.5 per cent gain posted in March and handily beating economist forecasts of 7.9 per cent, as factories raced to ship orders ahead of potential tariff escalations and Middle East supply disruptions.
