Tag
#prediction-markets
Prediction markets are becoming real market infrastructure
Prediction market volume hit $44.8 billion in June as Kalshi and Polymarket turned World Cup flow into a test of liquidity, compliance and regulation.
Polymarket fake winning bets raise disclosure risk
Polymarket fake winning bets shown in more than 1,100 creator videos are adding disclosure and credibility risks as regulators probe prediction markets.
Polymarket Strategy dispute tests prediction-market trust
Polymarket Strategy dispute turns a 32 BTC sale into a test of whether prediction markets can win Wall Street trust as volumes grow.
Trump backs CFTC in prediction-market fight with Minnesota
Trump backed the CFTC's claim to oversee prediction markets as Minnesota fights to treat the contracts more like gambling products.
Kalshi, Polymarket lose bid to pause state gambling suits
Kalshi and Polymarket lost bids to pause Nevada and Washington gambling suits, allowing state regulators to keep pressing the cases while appeals continue.
Prediction markets ban: CFTC sues Minnesota over law
Prediction markets ban litigation is testing whether Minnesota can criminalize event contracts that the CFTC says belong under exclusive federal oversight.
CFTC scrutiny widens around Polymarket as oil bets draw abuse concerns
Reports linking an $800 million oil-linked Polymarket wager to insider-trading concerns are turning event contracts into a new test of CFTC market-abuse oversight.
House panel presses Trump to fill CFTC as crypto agenda grows
House Agriculture leaders pressed Donald Trump to fill four empty CFTC seats as the agency's role in crypto market structure and prediction markets widens.
CFTC Issues Blanket No-Action Letter on Prediction Market Data Reporting
The CFTC issued Letter No. 26-14 on Tuesday, granting 19 prediction market platforms — including Polymarket US and Kalshi — relief from swap data reporting obligations, as the agency presses its jurisdictional claim against five state-level gambling regulators.
Robinhood bets prediction markets can fill crypto revenue gap
Robinhood is positioning its prediction markets subsidiary as the next growth engine after crypto transaction revenue fell 47 per cent year over year in the first quarter, betting its 27.4m funded customer base can outscale dedicated platforms Kalshi and Polymarket.
