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#New York Fed

Economy

Logistics costs hit four-year high as Fed faces supply shock

Logistics costs are back at a four-year high, reviving supply-driven inflation risks that make the Fed’s rate call harder.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

US consumer spending squeeze grows as tax refunds fade

US consumer spending squeeze is set to deepen as tax refunds run out, gas stays above $4.50 a gallon and lower-income households lean on credit.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Perli says Fed rate control can absorb lower reserves

Fed reserve demand is back in focus after Roberto Perli said the New York Fed can keep rates on target even as reserves drift lower and cuts recede.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

US consumers keep spending as gas and inflation bite

Higher gasoline prices and 3.8 per cent inflation are darkening consumer sentiment, but April spending data show affluent households are still keeping US growth alive.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Student-loan defaults are now a consumer-credit story

Student loan defaults jumped again in 2026, pulling 3.6 million borrowers into default over two quarters and raising fresh risks for credit and spending.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Former Fed officials tell Warsh balance-sheet size is the wrong target

Former Fed officials say Kevin Warsh's real test is whether the Fed can keep reserves, repo markets and policy transmission stable while rates stay higher for longer.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

Hot inflation revives Fed hike bets and lifts yields

Fed funds futures are pricing a 2026 rate increase after April CPI and PPI ran hot, pushing Treasury yields higher and testing the Fed's hold message.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

U.S. factory output rises 0.6% as autos, AI lift production

U.S. manufacturing output rose 0.6 per cent in April as motor vehicles and AI-linked demand drove production higher, but New York Fed data showed delivery times lengthening and price pressures accelerating.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Consumer debt 2026: homeowners hold up as renter strain grows

Consumer debt reached $18.794 trillion in Q1 2026, but renters are showing more strain than homeowners as card balances and housing stress build.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Student loan defaults 2026: 3.6M borrowers enter default

Student loan defaults: 3.6M federal borrowers entered default as pandemic protections unwind. Credit scores dropped 91 points, NY Fed data show.

By Helena Brandt