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#monetary policy
ECB inflation effects not yet spreading, Villeroy says
ECB inflation effects have not yet spread broadly, Villeroy said, but June forecasts and rate guidance may still turn hawkish.
Fed Minutes: Rate Hikes Ahead If Inflation Persists
A majority of Fed officials are open to rate hikes if inflation persists, FOMC minutes show, handing Kevin Warsh a hawkish committee days before his swearing-in.
Kevin Warsh walks into the Fed's biggest family fight in 34 years
Kevin Warsh takes over as Fed chair with inflation at 3.8%, the FOMC split 8-4 on rate policy, and markets pricing a 51% chance of a rate hike by December.
Warsh confirmed: 12 Fed voters gather as Powell's final meeting looms
Kevin Warsh joins the FOMC this week after a 51-45 Senate confirmation, taking a seat at the table just three days before Jerome Powell's term as chair expires. With April inflation at 3.8% and Iran-driven energy costs still climbing, the 12 voting members are almost certain to hold rates steady.
The ECB held rates in April. A June hike now looks like the baseline.
Eurozone inflation jumped to 3.0 percent in April, driven by an Iran-conflict energy shock, and ECB policymakers are signaling the first rate hike since the easing cycle is coming in June.
Senate advances Warsh Fed nomination as inflation pressures mount
The Senate voted 49-44 on Monday to advance Kevin Warsh's nomination as Federal Reserve chair, setting up a May 15 confirmation vote that would hand him a central bank grappling with 3.3% inflation and an impatient White House.
BoE rate-hike bets leap to 68 bps, approaching three quarter-point moves
Investors pushed Bank of England rate-hike wagers sharply higher on Tuesday, piling 12 basis points of additional tightening into futures contracts in a single session as global geopolitical tensions and domestic political uncertainty converged to darken the UK inflation outlook.
ECB's Nagel: Two More Rate Hikes Are the Baseline
Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said the ECB's baseline scenario now includes two additional rate increases this year as the Iran war fuels inflation, hardening the case for a June move.
BofA rules out rate cuts before second half of 2027 on sticky inflation
Bank of America Global Research has scrapped its forecast for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, pushing the first reduction to the second half of 2027 as core inflation holds at 3.3 per cent and an Iran-driven energy shock keeps the central bank on the sidelines.
Fed is running out of reasons to cut rates
A stable labour market, sticky inflation above 3 per cent, and a rapid sell-side pivot away from rate-cut forecasts have eroded the Federal Reserve's case for easing. The debate on the FOMC has shifted from how fast to cut to whether the next move is a hike.
Lagarde rejects euro stablecoins, warns $300bn market threatens ECB policy transmission
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde rejected calls for the euro area to promote euro-denominated stablecoins, warning that the $300 billion market risks financial stability and would narrow the channel through which ECB rate decisions reach the real economy.
Powell holds rates 3.5-3.75%, ties inflation to Trump tariffs in farewell
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell held rates steady at 3.5 to 3.75 per cent on April 29 and pinned elevated inflation on Donald Trump's tariffs. He told reporters he will stay on as governor through January 2028.
Goldman delays Fed rate cut path to December as Iran shock persists
Goldman Sachs has pushed back its forecast for the Federal Reserve's 2026 rate cuts to September and December, citing oil-driven inflation from the US-Iran war. The shift aligns the bank with the Fed's own dot plot and the Wall Street consensus that easing will arrive late.
Bank of America sees no Fed rate cuts until second half of 2027
Bank of America Global Research no longer expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year, pushing its forecast for the next reduction to the second half of 2027. Sticky inflation at 3.3 per cent and April's stronger-than-expected jobs report have shifted the outlook.
ECB heads into June split as Villeroy pushes back on Frankfurt hawks
Banque de France governor François Villeroy de Galhau told an audience in Paris that the next ECB move should track the data, not the calendar, in a public pushback at Bundesbank president Joachim Nagel and Austria's Martin Kocher, who had effectively lined the Council up for a 25 basis point hike on 5 June.
