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#central banks

Economy

The ECB and BoE Are Unlikely to Rush With Rate Hikes

Europe's two largest central banks kept borrowing costs on hold at their April meetings, but the direction of the next move is no longer ambiguous. Rising energy prices and sticky services inflation are forcing Frankfurt and Threadneedle Street to confront a question neither wants to answer: how much growth are they willing to sacrifice to keep inflation expectations anchored?

By Sloane Carrington
Commodities

Gold's 12% Iran sell-off is a rates story, not a haven failure

Gold has fallen 12 per cent since the Iran conflict began, defying the safe-haven script. ING's Ewa Manthey says the sell-off is a macro story — real yields and a strong dollar — not a structural failure. J.P. Morgan and the ECB see central bank demand keeping the bull case intact.

By Reza Najjar
Economy

ECB's Nagel: Two More Rate Hikes Are the Baseline

Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said the ECB's baseline scenario now includes two additional rate increases this year as the Iran war fuels inflation, hardening the case for a June move.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

ECB heads into June split as Villeroy pushes back on Frankfurt hawks

Banque de France governor François Villeroy de Galhau told an audience in Paris that the next ECB move should track the data, not the calendar, in a public pushback at Bundesbank president Joachim Nagel and Austria's Martin Kocher, who had effectively lined the Council up for a 25 basis point hike on 5 June.

By Helena Brandt
Commodities

Gold climbs to $4,734, eyes $4,750 breakout as Fed fears ease and central banks keep buying

Gold rose $23.60 to settle at $4,734.50 per troy ounce on COMEX on Friday, positioning the precious metal for a weekly advance as easing fears about aggressive Federal Reserve tightening drew buyers back into the market.

By Reza Najjar
Commodities

Gold bucks safe-haven status with 14.5 per cent decline since Iran war began

Gold has fallen 14.5 per cent since the Iran conflict started, defying its traditional safe-haven status as the oil shock suppresses rate cut expectations and pushes real yields higher.

By Reza Najjar