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#polymarket

Markets

Prediction markets are becoming real market infrastructure

Prediction market volume hit $44.8 billion in June as Kalshi and Polymarket turned World Cup flow into a test of liquidity, compliance and regulation.

By Sloane Carrington
Markets

Cboe (CBOE) binary options return tests Kalshi and Polymarket

Cboe binary options are back on the Mini-S&P 500, giving the listed exchange a direct answer to Kalshi and Polymarket's rise.

By Avery Lin
Regulation

Polymarket fake winning bets raise disclosure risk

Polymarket fake winning bets shown in more than 1,100 creator videos are adding disclosure and credibility risks as regulators probe prediction markets.

By Tomás Iglesias
Crypto

Polymarket Strategy dispute tests prediction-market trust

Polymarket Strategy dispute turns a 32 BTC sale into a test of whether prediction markets can win Wall Street trust as volumes grow.

By Sloane Carrington
Regulation

SEC delays prediction-market ETFs as Atkins seeks input

The SEC delayed a wave of prediction-market ETFs after chair Paul Atkins said the agency would seek public input on whether event-contract funds belong in the ETF wrapper.

By Tomás Iglesias
Regulation

Prediction markets reshaped the CFTC under Trump

Prediction markets are reshaping the CFTC, turning a fight over state bans into a broader test of who gets to define and police event contracts.

By Tomás Iglesias
Regulation

Kalshi, Polymarket lose bid to pause state gambling suits

Kalshi and Polymarket lost bids to pause Nevada and Washington gambling suits, allowing state regulators to keep pressing the cases while appeals continue.

By Tomás Iglesias
Regulation

Polymarket seeks Japan approval in global market push

Polymarket's Japan approval push adds a new regulatory test for prediction markets as U.S. officials debate rulemaking and trading-integrity risks.

By Tomás Iglesias
Crypto

Polymarket probes suspected wallet compromise tied to Polygon top-up wallet

Polymarket said a suspected private-key compromise hit an internal Polygon top-up wallet after reports of a $520,000 drain, while user funds stayed safe.

By Caleb Mwangi
Regulation

House probe puts Kalshi, Polymarket under insider-trading scrutiny

A House insider-trading probe into Kalshi and Polymarket shifts Washington's prediction-market fight toward surveillance, user records and compliance controls.

By Tomás Iglesias
Regulation

Polymarket private-company markets test a regulatory line

Polymarket private-company markets let traders bet on OpenAI, Anthropic and IPO timing using Nasdaq Private Market data, raising new regulatory questions.

By Tomás Iglesias
Regulation

CFTC scrutiny widens around Polymarket as oil bets draw abuse concerns

Reports linking an $800 million oil-linked Polymarket wager to insider-trading concerns are turning event contracts into a new test of CFTC market-abuse oversight.

By Tomás Iglesias
Regulation

Suspicious prediction-market trades draw CFTC scrutiny as volumes swell

Suspicious trading on Kalshi and Polymarket is becoming a core market-structure problem as volumes rise and the CFTC signals tougher oversight.

By Tomás Iglesias
Analysis

Robinhood bets prediction markets can fill crypto revenue gap

Robinhood is positioning its prediction markets subsidiary as the next growth engine after crypto transaction revenue fell 47 per cent year over year in the first quarter, betting its 27.4m funded customer base can outscale dedicated platforms Kalshi and Polymarket.

By Sloane Carrington