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Economy

Goldman delays Fed rate cut path to December as Iran shock persists

Goldman Sachs has pushed back its forecast for the Federal Reserve's 2026 rate cuts to September and December, citing oil-driven inflation from the US-Iran war. The shift aligns the bank with the Fed's own dot plot and the Wall Street consensus that easing will arrive late.

By Helena Brandt
Commodities

Gold climbs to $4,734, eyes $4,750 breakout as Fed fears ease and central banks keep buying

Gold rose $23.60 to settle at $4,734.50 per troy ounce on COMEX on Friday, positioning the precious metal for a weekly advance as easing fears about aggressive Federal Reserve tightening drew buyers back into the market.

By Reza Najjar
Economy

Fed flags oil shock, geopolitical risks as top stability threats in semi-annual report

The Federal Reserve's semi-annual Financial Stability Report found geopolitical risks and the oil shock from the Iran war were the top concerns of survey respondents, with AI and private credit rising as prominent worries.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Bank of America sees no Fed rate cuts until second half of 2027

Bank of America Global Research no longer expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year, pushing its forecast for the next reduction to the second half of 2027. Sticky inflation at 3.3 per cent and April's stronger-than-expected jobs report have shifted the outlook.

By Helena Brandt
Commodities

Silver tops $80 as gold runs to $4,742 on US-Iran memorandum and softer payrolls bid

Spot silver pushed above $80 an ounce on Thursday and gold reached $4,742 in New York after fresh reporting of a US-Iran diplomatic memorandum sent crude lower and pulled the dollar back. The gold-silver ratio compressed from 62.5 to 61 in two sessions.

By Reza Najjar