fbpx

Lib Dems set to rival Labour in key election seat after surge in support

The Liberal Democrats look set to challenge Labour for a key marginal constituency and could even win the seat, according to new polling.

Survation this afternoon released new data showing that the Lib Dems could win Portsmouth South – a seat that was narrowly won by Labour in 2017.

Advertisements

Jo Swinson’s party leads the Survation poll on 30% – a surge of 13% on the last election. The Tories are in second with 27% of the vote, with the incumbent Labour Party trailing in third with 24% (down 17%) – ahead of Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party on 14%.

As academic Matthew Goodwin has pointed out, Portsmouth South “points to the complexity” of the general election – and could easily be replicated in several other seats.

Portsmouth is a relatively youthful constituency, with nearly 40% of voters under the age of 35. This perhaps explains the positive performance of the anti-Brexit Liberal Democrats, who might expect a similar surge in other young, urban seats.

Meanwhile, a decent Brexit Party showing looks set to deny the Conservatives, who would stand a much greater chance of winning without a pro-Brexit rival.

The 2019 general election is set to be the most unpredictable, and interesting, ballot that we’ve seen for a long time.

Your privacy

Scram News is part of Scram Media Limited (Scram Media). We and our partners use technology such as cookies on our websites to provide social media features, personalise content and advertising, and analyse our traffic. Click Accept All to consent to the use of this technology across our sites and the wider web. Alternatively, click Manage Settings to personalise your consent choices.

Manage settings |
Manage Settings