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Economy

India RBI holds rate at 5.25% as rupee defense widens

India RBI holds rate at 5.25% while rupee measures seek $30bn-$50bn of inflows as oil pressure lifts inflation and growth risks.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Student loan changes 2026: July 1 repayment reset

Student loan changes 2026 start July 1, moving SAVE borrowers toward RAP or standard repayment and narrowing future loan limits.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Logistics costs hit four-year high as Fed faces supply shock

Logistics costs are back at a four-year high, reviving supply-driven inflation risks that make the Fed’s rate call harder.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Fed rate hike odds rise after Logan inflation warning

Fed rate hike odds rose after Lorie Logan warned sticky inflation could force the central bank to tighten again in 2026.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Fed rate hike risk returns as Hammack warns on inflation

Fed rate hike risk is back after Beth Hammack said inflation may force tighter policy, complicating the June hold case.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Warsh Fed hires signal policy-shop shift for rates

Warsh Fed hires, including a Project 2025 author, show how the new chair may reshape policy work as inflation keeps rate cuts distant.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

BOJ rate hike odds rise as Ueda flags inflation risk

BOJ rate hike odds climbed after Kazuo Ueda said Japan may need more tightening, putting yen and global bond trades on alert.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Brazil tariff 2026: Trump proposes 25% duty on goods

Brazil tariff 2026 risk widened after Trump proposed a 25% duty on many imports, setting July deadlines for comments and hearings.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Brazil tariff 2026: Trump proposes 25% levy on goods

Brazil tariff 2026 proposal would add a 25% levy on many imports, reviving trade-war risk for inflation and supply chains.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

RBI gold sales show how war pressure reaches reserves

RBI gold sales may show how India is trading bullion for liquid FX assets as war-driven oil shocks and capital outflows hit reserves.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Fed independence in focus as Powell warns on credibility

Fed independence is back in focus after Jerome Powell warned political removals would damage credibility and market trust.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Grocery inflation 2026: El Niño, Iran hit food costs

Grocery inflation 2026 is shifting from energy shock to supermarket squeeze as food-at-home prices rise 2.9 per cent.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Mortgage rates hit August high as refinance demand drops 18%

Mortgage rates hit 6.65%, the highest since August, and refinance demand fell 18% as higher Treasury yields pushed borrowing costs higher for households.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Thailand seeks $5bn via notes, loans as yields rise

Thailand plans to raise about $5 billion through promissory notes and term loans after higher sovereign yields made a standard bond sale less attractive.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Weak rupee 2026: India's oil shock masks deeper strain

Weak rupee pressure is turning India's oil shock into a capital-flow test as RBI defence, import costs and reserves strain collide.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

China industrial profits jump 24.7%, fastest since 2023

China industrial profits rose 24.7 per cent in April, complicating the bearish macro trade as AI demand offset weak demand.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

China policy loan rate falls to record low of 1.45%

China policy loan rate fell to a record-low 1.45% as the PBOC eased bank funding costs, signaling more support for growth and liquidity.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

BOJ rate hike odds near 76% as Himino urges steady pace

BOJ rate hike odds hovered near 76% after Ryozo Himino said proper policy timing is key to keeping JGB markets confident.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Citadel's warning shows the Fed debate turning toward hikes

Fed rate hikes are back in play after Citadel Securities warned inflation, not labor slack, is now the bigger risk for Warsh's central bank.

By Sloane Carrington
Economy

Real wages shrink in developed countries as inflation rises

Real wages shrink in developed countries as oil-driven inflation outpaces pay, squeezing households and leaving central banks less room to cut.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Sri Lanka lifts rate to 8.75% in surprise full-point move

Sri Lanka raised its policy rate to 8.75% after April inflation hit 5.4% and the rupee fell 8.7% since early March.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

30-year fixed mortgage rates in 2026: what they signal

30-year fixed mortgage rates in 2026 are tracking Treasury yields, lender spreads and housing demand, keeping affordability tight near 6.65 per cent.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

ECB inflation effects not yet spreading, Villeroy says

ECB inflation effects have not yet spread broadly, Villeroy said, but June forecasts and rate guidance may still turn hawkish.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Buy British push targets four UK strategic sectors

Buy British procurement rules will steer UK contracts toward shipbuilding, steel, AI and energy suppliers as Reeves turns spending into industrial policy.

By Helena Brandt
Economy

Singapore Warns Economic Outlook Dims Despite First Quarter Beat

Singapore's first quarter GDP grew 6 per cent year-on-year, beating consensus, but the trade ministry warned the outlook has weakened as the Strait of Hormuz disruption clouds global trade.

By Helena Brandt